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Comscore release on cookies and stats

lloydshep | Dadblogging | Tuesday, April 17th, 2007
Comscore have released an interesting study into how cookie deletions affect site metrics. Though it’s got some very good stuff in it, I’ve always been a little sceptical - obviously, as a panel-based firm, it’s in Comscore’s interests to emphasise the problems of cookie-based reporting.

But the conclusions are pretty, well, conclusive. Their conclusion is that “on average” there were 2.5 distinct cookies for each site in a particular month, suggesting that cookie-based stats are inflating user numbers by 2.5 times.

I’ve seen this figure before in other contexts, and there’s something I didn’t understand about it which now becomes clear. It’s the serial deleters who really inflate your numbers. The Comscore study thats that only 31% of users delete their cookies every month. That suggests that 69% of users don’t delete their cookies. Of the 31% of users who delete their cookies, there was an average of 4.5 cookies per site, suggesting these users delete their cookies roughly once a week, or 4.5 times a month. So each of these users is being counted as 4.5 uniques by cookie-based analytics.

But, in the Comscore survey, 7% of users had an average of 12.5 cookies, suggesting they deleted their cookies that many times in a month. So each of *these* users is being counted 12.5 times in a given month.

So, let’s say you have 100 real users. 61 of them don’t delete their cookies, so that numbers solid. Let’s say 32 of them delete on average twice a month, so they get counted as 64. And the final seven delete their cookies 12 times a month, so they get counted as 84. 61+64+84=209. Ouch. And if you’ve got a very techie audience, those cookie-deleters are going to be more prevalent. Double-ouch.

Back to the drawing board for some sites, I reckon.
clipped from www.comscore.com

comScore
observed that 31 percent of U.S. Internet users cleared their first-party cookies
during the month. Within this user segment, the study found an average of 4.7
different cookies for the site. Among the 7-percent of computers with at least
4 cookie resets, comScore counted an average of 12.5 distinct first-party
cookies per computer, accounting for 35 percent of all cookies observed in the
analysis.

 

Using the
total comScore sample as a basis, an average of 2.5 distinct first-party
cookies were observed per computer for the site being examined.  This indicates that Web site server logs
that count unique cookies to measure unique visitors are likely to be exaggerating
the size of the site’s audience by a factor as high as 2.5, or an overstatement
of 150 percent.

1 Comment »

  1. The cookie study does include some eye-opening stats that we have seen before, and chose to ignore each time. The fact that this came from a panel-based service has no bearing on the facts. But who ever said bloggers had to be fair? :)

    Comment by comScore Fan — April 23, 2007 @ 11:44 pm

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