Comscore release on cookies and stats
But the conclusions are pretty, well, conclusive. Their conclusion is that “on average” there were 2.5 distinct cookies for each site in a particular month, suggesting that cookie-based stats are inflating user numbers by 2.5 times.
I’ve seen this figure before in other contexts, and there’s something I didn’t understand about it which now becomes clear. It’s the serial deleters who really inflate your numbers. The Comscore study thats that only 31% of users delete their cookies every month. That suggests that 69% of users don’t delete their cookies. Of the 31% of users who delete their cookies, there was an average of 4.5 cookies per site, suggesting these users delete their cookies roughly once a week, or 4.5 times a month. So each of these users is being counted as 4.5 uniques by cookie-based analytics.
But, in the Comscore survey, 7% of users had an average of 12.5 cookies, suggesting they deleted their cookies that many times in a month. So each of *these* users is being counted 12.5 times in a given month.
So, let’s say you have 100 real users. 61 of them don’t delete their cookies, so that numbers solid. Let’s say 32 of them delete on average twice a month, so they get counted as 64. And the final seven delete their cookies 12 times a month, so they get counted as 84. 61+64+84=209. Ouch. And if you’ve got a very techie audience, those cookie-deleters are going to be more prevalent. Double-ouch.
Back to the drawing board for some sites, I reckon.
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The cookie study does include some eye-opening stats that we have seen before, and chose to ignore each time. The fact that this came from a panel-based service has no bearing on the facts. But who ever said bloggers had to be fair?
Comment by comScore Fan — April 23, 2007 @ 11:44 pm